Tuesday, July 4, 2000
ANALYSIS:
Odyssey Leads June Car Sales
TOKYO (Nikkei)--In June, the Odyssey, the
minivan from Honda Motor Co., topped the
Vitz, Toyota Motor Corp.'s global
strategic model, to become the new leader in
model-specific domestic car sales other than
minicars.
Until now, Toyota models have enjoyed
overwhelming strength, with the Corolla in the
top position for 31 calendar years running up to
1999, and the Vitz for the first five months of
2000. While Honda is competing on the basis of
sales volume with the Odyssey as its heavy
hitter, Toyota is rising to the challenge with
all-around strength and higher profits in mind.
Competition will intensify as the new-car market
recovers.
Excitement at Honda rose in mid-June, on
anticipation that the Odyssey could reach the top
of the rankings. Registrations of the vehicle
numbered 5,100 against the Vitz's 4,200 as of
June 15.
May had been a bad month for Honda because its
May 12 projection for fiscal year performance was
below market projections, causing its stock to
plummet. In a CART race on its own track, Honda
President Hiroyuki Yoshino went pale as he
watched the Toyota team come close to snatching
victory from his company.
On May 26, Honda announced a domestic sales
goal of 900,000 cars for fiscal 2003, 200,000
more than this year. The markets saw this as
"unrealistic," as one analyst put it
and, to the chagrin of company executives, Honda
stock fell further.
But the new Odyssey has saved the day for
Honda just as the first-generation model did by
initiating the fad for minivans in Japan. In
March, the company sold 15,392 Odysseys, a new
record and over 150% ahead of its 6,000-unit goal
for the month, beating the Estima, Toyota's
contender in the category.
The Odyssey maintained its momentum, managing
to finish first on June 30, with around 14,600
units sold, while the Vitz barely kept up,
selling about 14,200 for the month.
Because Honda couldn't keep up with Odyssey
orders despite running at full-capacity (38,000
units/month) at its Sayama plant in Saitama
Prefecture, it asked employees to give up two
June holidays. Executives are very pleased to
have a long-awaited hit product.
Observers were initially dubious about the
continued popularity of the all-new Odyssey,
which hit the market in December 1999. "It's
almost the same as the first-generation model of
1994," says one industry observer, voicing a
widely held opinion. Honda retained the model's
appearance but put priority on intangible
improvements, like driving performance and priced
it between 2,125,000 yen and 3,345,000 yen to
compete with other domestic minivans, like the
Estima and the MPV from Mazda Motor Corp. (7261).
The "Odyssey effect" is gradually
spreading in the showrooms. "If I'm going to
own only one car, I'll pick a minivan because I
can carry my whole family, including my parents,
two daughters and wife," says one 41-year-old
man in Kawasaki, while visiting the local Honda
Clio Kyoritsu showroom. "The Odyssey isn't
cheap, but a foreign model would cost 4 million
yen."
Over the weekend the dealer greeted 60 to 70
customers, mostly family men in their 30s and
40s.
The dealer registered 856 new Honda cars in
the Jan-June period, up 10.6% from the
corresponding 1999 period, the first two-digit
growth in three years. "The Odyssey is
having a terrific effect," says President
Mamoru Ishizaki.
The Honda Verno Tokai dealership, located in
Aichi Prefecture, a Toyota stronghold, registered
3.5 times more Odysseys in June than it did a
year ago. "Our year-on-year increase in
registrations of all Honda cars in Jan-June is
over 20%," said Managing Director Masahide
Ito.
While Honda has waged an aggressive sales
campaign to move Odysseys off salesroom floors,
Toyota has been surprisingly cool. At its June 30
meeting of Chubu-region dealers, President Fujio
Cho offered no pep talk despite his report that
the Vitz had fallen from first position in the
market.
Since launching the Vitz in January 1999,
Toyota has encouraged dealers to build sales and
profits. It has since implemented a fixed-price
sales policy which aims to attract customers with
product quality rather than big discounts, while
cutting dealer incentives to avoid money-losing
sales.
Since the release of the Vitz model, Toyota
has introduced the bB and the FunCargo in its
effort to improve profitability at dealerships
while maintaining high market share.
"We don't chase customers who are looking
for discount prices. We don't want discount
wars," says a source at Toyota Corolla Aiho,
Toyota Motor's Aichi Prefecture dealership,
reflecting the opinion of most Toyota dealers.
The high sales goal of 900,000 units has put
the screws to Honda dealers who cannot meet their
quotas. At a recent used-car auction held by
industry leader USS, there were bids on used
Odysseys with less than 100km on the odometer.
Apparently dealers are channeling some Odysseys,
registered as sold but not actually bought by
customers, to the used-car market.
In the face of such competition, Toyota
dealers remain optimistic. "A 10% discount
like the one on Odysseys would only hurt our
sales and profit," says a source at one
Tokyo dealer.
The Japan Automobile Dealers Association
announced on July 3 that 375,679 new cars (other
than minicars) were sold in June, up 8.5% from
the June 1999 figure. This year-on-year growth is
the best since the consumption-tax hike in April
1997. "June is not the end, and the season
will continue," says a Toyota executive. The
real competition for new-car sales has just
begun.
|